Raja Clavata Posted May 1, 2020 Report Share Posted May 1, 2020 1 hour ago, Smokersmith said: Given the exponential rate of the death curve without significant social distancing measures, it's difficult to see how we didn't see an explosion of deaths Jan to March if December was the initiation point. For this reason I think the suggestion lacks credibility. On that basis I'd agree but there are reports that the outbreak from Wuhan is the Beta version of the virus, if that's the case then the Alpha version may have originated elsewhere and obviously existed earlier. That puts the December theory back in the set of plausible scenarios? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demonic69 Posted May 1, 2020 Report Share Posted May 1, 2020 14 hours ago, Retsdon said: Which just goes to show that old Joseph de Maistre was right. In such a hurry to appear smug, you spelled his name wrong Maybe you and the Gov't had his other quote in mind: "To know how to wait is the great secret of success." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TIGHTCHOKE Posted May 1, 2020 Report Share Posted May 1, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Raja Clavata Posted May 1, 2020 Report Share Posted May 1, 2020 1 hour ago, Demonic69 said: Maybe you and the Gov't had one of his other quotes in mind: "To know how to wait is the great secret of success." Corrected for you, since more than two quotes are attributed to him 😉 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rewulf Posted May 1, 2020 Report Share Posted May 1, 2020 4 hours ago, Smokersmith said: Given the exponential rate of the death curve without significant social distancing measures, it's difficult to see how we didn't see an explosion of deaths Jan to March if December was the initiation point. For this reason I think the suggestion lacks credibility. I see your point, but surely it takes time for the virus to spread, also the incubation period seems to be debatable. We also had a pretty nasty flu going around in December/January, maybe some deaths were put down to that ? That said we have had lockdown and social distancing for 5 - 6 weeks now , yet cases are still some 5-6 000 a day , and deaths are only really in decline partially, once the figures have been manipulated. The ONS figures for deaths show the true picture of how many extra lives are lost this year. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/weeklyprovisionalfiguresondeathsregisteredinenglandandwales Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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