timps

Depends which Bury black pudding you mean, there are two on Bury market, Chadwick’s or the Bury Black Pudding Co. The Chadwick's black pudding stall itself was established in 1954 but the recipe goes back to1865 and the one my grandad took me to as a lad as it was the only dedicated black pudding stall selling warm ones on Bury market back then, they are sold as lean or fat and are cooked in vats of simmering water and sold as a whole. These are the ones I used to bring down to the Pigeon Watch charity shoots back in the day if anyone remembers. The Bury Black pudding co is about 20 years old, they bought an old recipe (might have even been off a member of the Chadwick family IIRC) to add a bit of history to the stall ( and I guess are considered the new pretenders by 50 year old locals like me that frequented the market as a kid (my Granddad opened a sweet stall on the market when he retired so I spent my weekends there earning pocket money). To be fair they are the only ones made in Bury but they are certainly more commercialised than Chadwick’s who manufacture up the valley in Rossendale (or at least they use to), which is next door to Ramsbottom in Bury where the World Black Pudding Throwing championships are held every year. You wont find any like Chadwick’s ‘fat’ ones in the supermarkets and they are my favourite so I guess you can see where my loyalties lie.

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All very interesting but Thailand used Oxford–AstraZeneca: ~36.606 million doses (43.78%) CoronaVac: ~25.508 million doses (30.50%) Sinopharm BIBP: ~13.231 million doses (15.82%) Which are not mRNA vaccines Pfizer–BioNTech: ~8.199 million doses (9.8%) Moderna: ~0.07 million doses (0.01%) Which are the mRNA vaccines and only account for just 10% in Thailand If Wikipedia is to be believed, but it’s irrelevant and not important really, I was just pointing out the John Hopkins charts are not conclusive proof of anything without more data inputs. This is something you seem to accept when rebutting me but something you didn’t accept when you stated they were proof to support your claims. If you now accept the charts posted earlier on by themselves prove neither one way or the other without more data and clarification then we are now in agreement. If you don’t, well I’ve answered your question “what standard of proof would satisfy you” the same you require when the charts don’t show what you believe.

Our discussion is about the question you originally asked:- “I believe the John Hopkins charts in themselves are very close to that standard of proof. If you don't agree, what standard of proof would satisfy you?” I’m not going to convince you or change your mind on other things but nowhere in the charts posted does it say any of above you have just posted, which was my reasoning for discounting them. 3.85% of the population (and I’ve not checked the accuracy of those figures or dates) is not mass vaccination by anybody’s definition, calling it something else doesn’t alter that fact, what was written on the chart was "Mass Vaccination Begins". According to Reuters, The Finical Times (should you want a broad sheet), The Guardian (should you want woke), Russia Today (if you have a VPN to read it and seeing that there are some alleged Russian moles on PW, joke by the way) and plenty more sources all state mass vaccination began on the 7 June 2021. If the author of the chart wants to be believed then that is the day they should state. The mass vaccination may have started on the 7 June but they did not vaccinate the entire population in one day and the vaccine needs weeks to become effective, as more people are vaccinated the deaths began to decline which goes against your point. Where does the chart you posted mention “each roll out”, regardless of that point, if you look at the surge starting June 2021 the number of cases mirror the number of deaths, the graphs look similar. If you look at the surge starting Jan 2022 the number of cases far exceed the number of deaths, the death graph is shallower than the cases graph. By this time more people are vaccinated, it has had time to work, so on the face of it with no other data input considered, the vaccine seems to be preventing deaths not causing them by comparisons of those 2 graphs alone. Regarding temporal association, as I stated in my other post regarding the June 2021 surge “a surge that has had a disproportionate impact on the country’s overcrowded prisons.” The prisoners were not at that time vaccinated, but you are happy to include their disproportionate number of deaths in the figures via temporal association to prove vaccines are unsafe. You cannot use disproportionate unvaccinated deaths in this way if you want to be taken seriously. An unvaccinated prisoner cannot be killed by a vaccine he hasn’t been given yet, you have to remove his death from the data, which hasn’t been done. The same goes for all other deaths not related to the vaccine. What you are suggesting is the same as the king of Thailand stubbing his toe in June then again in January, overlaying it on the John Hopkins graph and saying it’s temporal association, look, each time the king stubs his toe the cases rise. The above is a flippant remark I know, but without knowing how many people who died were actually vaccinated or why they died means you cannot have any meaningful association at all.

Answered in my post above. The whole point of the charts was mass vaccination and its alleged correlation to an increase in deaths. Take the mass out of it and the charts are meaningless.

Your original premise was to look at data for countries that did not have high numbers of Covid -19 deaths prior to MASS vaccination because they afford the simplest comparison. Now you change the goalpost to SOME vaccination? What does that prove? Your original point was: 1. They had very low rates of death attributed to COVID-19. (correct) 2. Then they commenced mass vaccination. (Factually incorrect) 3. Then they experienced huge increases in deaths attributed to COVID-19. (Factually incorrect) The true timeline was: 1. They had very low rates of death attributed to COVID-19. (correct) 2. Then they experienced huge increases in deaths attributed to COVID-19 (correct) 3. Then they commenced mass vaccination. (correct) Which doesn’t provide the smoking gun proof you tried to claim. Whoever created the chart clearly labelled MASS vaccination starting several months earlier than it did, in a flat spot, a blatant lie to mislead those that didn’t bother to actually check. When you put MASS vaccination in its correct timeline its impact is lost. The death rate is already increasing. Secondly it doesn’t go into other causes or factors. https://thediplomat.com/2021/06/thailand-begins-mass-vaccination-campaign-amid-reported-supply-shortages/ "The country’s death toll now stands at 1,269. More than 80 percent of these infections and deaths have come since the beginning of this third wave in April, a surge that has had a disproportionate impact on the country’s overcrowded prisons." I would speculate Covid 19 entering the unsanitary conditions and overcrowding in Thailand’s prisons more of a smoking gun to the spike in deaths than a mass vaccine rollout that has just started so impact at this point in time would be minimal but that is just speculation on my part without all the data. Without correlating all the data points (including were the dead in this spike actually vaccinated) the charts you posted offer no proof of anything. The original question you asked “ If you don't agree, what standard of proof would satisfy you?” 1.Well for a start a chart that is factually correct and doesn't lie by making things up. 2. A chart that shows actual causation not just coincidence, there is a global pandemic, deaths are going to rise directly or indirectly due to Covid, those indirect factors have to be discounted first.

The John Hopkins charts make no mention of deaths due to the vaccine or even how many of those dead people are actually vaccinated, nor do the team at John Hopkins make that inference. The first graphic you posted for Thailand claims that mass vaccination started on 24th of February 2021 when the graph is nice and flat, unfortunately mass Vaccination started on June 7th 2021 when the death rate was already increasing, and is the start of a third wave and nothing to do with mass vaccine roll out. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/thailand-starts-long-awaited-covid-19-vaccination-drive-2021-06-07/ “BANGKOK, June 7 (Reuters) - Thailand kicked off a long-awaited mass vaccination campaign on Monday as the country battles its third and worst wave of the coronavirus epidemic.” There are plenty of other sources should you not like Reuters conformation of date. Add to that the graphic also fails to address the causes of the two other previous spikes in deaths before mass vaccination started. https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/region/thailand When you look at ALL the data on the Thailand chart there is no proof at all that vaccines are the cause, as vaccines cannot cause a mass spike in deaths before they are administered in a mass roll out. Just like my seatbelt analogy, 73% of fatalities were wearing seatbelts but I neglected to mention the other figure, 93% of drivers wear seatbelts, it alters the interpretation. Failing to mention the previous 2 spikes and the third one well underway before mass vaccination starts alters the inference of the chart considerably. As to the other charts I haven’t bothered to look as when the first one is so easily proven as false and unreliable, I am not going to waste time on the others. As I said, the John Hopkins figures are correct just the inference and interpretation is so far wide of the mark its laughable.

Agree with you totally Gordon. The OneAmerica is often miss quoted, the CDC explains that excess deaths are associated with COVID-19 directly or indirectly. The rise in fatalities is largely associated with COVID-19, either directly from the disease or from other causes such as health care shortages, overburdened health care systems or complications from catching COVID 19 to people with ongoing health issues who die many months later. The OneAmerica CEO did NOT state these are not being filed as Covid deaths but people commenting on his statement have. It might even be true that they are not filed as COVID deaths but as someone once said there are Lies, damned lies, and statistics. The figures are correct but the inference and interpretation are not. I could use official UK government figures to write a paper with pretty graphs that prove the figures mean wearing seatbelts causes more fatalities. It’s a rubbish and false conclusion but the figures prove it if you don’t give them context. Out of all fatalities on uk roads 23% were not wearing seatbelts and 77% were wearing seatbelts (official figures). The bare bones figures cannot be argued, however the inference that you are less likely to be killed not wearing a seatbelt than wearing a seatbelt can be. Out of all my family or friends we only had one unexpected death, a blood clot, someone tried to link that to the vaccine until his widow pointed out he was unvaccinated. That same someone still wouldn’t accept it though. I’m in no way stating there are no deaths related to the vaccine alone, just there isn’t as yet the smoking gun proof of mass deaths due to the vaccine alone as some would have you believe.

I’ve always thought PW needs a like button 😂

Oh hello, I thought you were ignoring me, my ‘mistake’.😂 But seriously, you will argue every point and never give an inch no matter what. You say you admit when you are wrong, but seriously you never think you are wrong so …. Every time you have asked me to prove what was said, I have quoted it, apart form this last time, as I gave up and tried to get back on track, but I get that you disagree on interpretation, that's the point on forums. You always want to argue semantics, you say disagree is not the same as differ etc. just as one example ( I get you might have equal on me) but the dictionary on this one differs or disagrees with you, so we get stuck on that rather than the actual subject. Does it matter for the point of the debate ? No it doesn’t, but here is the thing, I will argue my corner with anyone just like you. I get you are passionate about what you believe, but I will just be as belligerent / passionate as you when it comes to arguing my point. Instead of scoring points and just telling me ‘USA did it as well’ which is a **** argument, just keep saying:- ‘If all the troops on the front line, who is administering….’ While I might not agree, it is a salient argument that can be debated the former is not as it is not relevant and I will say so. Just accept the written word can be miss read, misinterpreted by different eyes and I will try and do the same or don't and actually ignore me 👍.

Eh what the heck you on about no martial law it’s the police and local authorities martial law it’s the soldiers. That’s the whole difference, the whole point of why it’s a mistake 😂 you really don’t read do you. I was wrong you couldn’t help yourself you replied AGAIN see ya

Eh you do understand how martial law works don’t you? The civilian police force of locals that usually patrol the streets away front the front line is now replaced by a foreign army and checkpoints. It was the argument you lost to welsh1 before. If there is no martial law then all the troops are on the front line. Seeing as you’re not my mum I’m not going to do what you say, it’s the second time you asked me to block you, like I say it’s simple you keep quoting me so I keep responding to those quotes where I feel the need. As for the rest your post, it contained absolutely nothing and answered nothing but you quoted me and responded with quips anyway. Ill guess it’s the last I will hear from you when I post now.

I do wonder if you ever read what you actually write, I know I’m not the first or only one to ask you this. Anyway, for the sake of getting back to the topic I’ll ignore all the pointless stuff you got wrong and move on. Regarding the above you really need to understand the difference between the two. History is simple, there are numerous similar conflicts throughout history where liberating armies that then imposed martial law have then been seen as an occupying army after time. This can and does promote conflict and unrest towards them from the locals. Can this historical knowledge of the failures repeated then be used in the current conflict, answer yes. Russia putting armed roadblocks and curfews in areas that are not at the front line will cause resentment, it has been seen before in other conflicts. Whataboutry: Russian imposes martial law …. But what about USA they did to…. Can this knowledge then be used in the current conflict, answer no, it’s irrelevant all you can do with this knowledge is tar Russia and USA with the same brush. You don’t seem to understand that you have to put some content in rather than just say USA bad. All people are asking is why is that relevant. So the USA invaded Iraq how does that knowledge help us understand what is going on in Ukraine? The reasons why they failed does, but that’s history not just that they did it. Do you ever read what you write (in bold) But then Troops on the front line don’t interact with the local civilians, under martial law they do. You are saying that it is ridiculous that martial law makes the change to hostile in one breath and of course it makes for conflict in the other.

You think from what was written I thought it was a good idea to impose martial law? If it wasn’t a good idea then has to be a ………. hint the definition is an action, decision, or judgment that produces an unwanted or unintentional result: https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/mistake Army of liberation becomes an unintentional army of occupation is a …….. It was the question I asked that you didn’t answer. You said that I never asked you that question, which was completely wrong, it is in black and white, was asked and never answered so the timeline in this instance is irrelevant. If you are going to correct me make sure you are right. But I did ask you. “Are you now agreeing with me that Putin made a mistake declaring marital law?” How is that an unanswerable question on its own? No I am not agreeing with you…. NO…. No it wasn’t a mistake….HET How did you disprove it, putting SAID in capital letters for the first time now doesn’t alter what you first wrote which was none of the above. Some parts of the countries ‘invade’ welcomed the USA, some parts didn’t, does that sound familiar? Either way what has it got to do with Ukraine? Have the USA a liberating or occupying army in the Ukraine at the present time? You completely miss the point, I didn’t use the word ‘HOSTILE’ according to you therefore replace ‘mistake’ with ‘hostile’ in your previous point above:- I didnt imply it was hostile, and you didnt ask me if it was a hostile , if YOU think this is what I meant , then try to form your statements better. Or does that only apply to me, you can’t have it both ways. This is what I mean with you, you change your stance mid post, I knew what you meant by hostile so it is easy to answer. But in this case I argued your exact point above knowing you would argue back against it switching stance. Yes, an army of liberation does become hostile but you have to declare martial law and enact it to make that change. History of the outcome of conflicts and learning from them has nothing to do with whataboutery / strawman argument. I purposely didn’t get into the debate of whether Russia should be there on this one, just they are now in the prosses of changing from a so-called army of liberation to an army of occupation due to imposing martial law. Do you think martial law by foreign troops on a foreign land doesn’t make for heightened tensions and conflict with the once supportive locals ?

No