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Nigel Farage


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I dont know where the 90% came from but it seems the % is enough to worry the human turbot!

 

"Ed Miliband is facing demands to promote Northern working class politicians to the shadow cabinet and overhaul his immigration policy after the party came within a few hundred votes of a humiliating by-election defeat.

Northern Labour MPs are calling the near loss of Heywood and Middleton to a resurgent Ukip a "wake-up call" for the leader which proves relying solely on the NHS to win votes will lead to electoral defeat in 2015.

Mr Miliband's decision to build a front bench in his "own image" has created a "London-centric view" at the top of the party which is totally disconnected with working class voters, according to one Labour MP, echoing claims by Ukip.

Others have demanded the party harden its position on Europe, borders and a welfare state that lets people "take out before they put in" to counter the appeal of Nigel Farage's anti-Establishment movement".

Edited by kdubya
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Ed - Prime Minister - you're 'avin' a larf. :lol::lol: :lol: :lol:

Very likely, even more so if former Tory voters keep backing UKIP. As I've said before, if there isn't an outright labour win next year then there will be a lib/lab coalition. But Nigel won't mind one bit as he will still have his referendum to chase, which he wouldn't have if the Tories were to win.
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Very likely, even more so if former Tory voters keep backing UKIP. As I've said before, if there isn't an outright labour win next year then there will be a lib/lab coalition. But Nigel won't mind one bit as he will still have his referendum to chase, which he wouldn't have if the Tories were to win.

serious question how will it be a lib lab? where are the lib MP's coming from? they will soon be as rare as a unicorn.

 

 

KW

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Very likely, even more so if former Tory voters keep backing UKIP. As I've said before, if there isn't an outright labour win next year then there will be a lib/lab coalition. But Nigel won't mind one bit as he will still have his referendum to chase, which he wouldn't have if the Tories were to win.

 

As things stand I can see that being the case as well, the kippers will take some of the Labour vote, but the majority will be from the traditional Conservative voters. The Lib voters are certainly not going to back the kippers and although they have had a torrid time they wont lose all their seats and will still be the 3rd largest party. I suspect it will be a hung parliament again and the likelihood is that it will be a Lab/Lib pact, albeit with a small majority.

 

The recent warning signs of a slowing economy globally, which will almost certainly have an impact on the UK recovery, may well increase support for the tories as they are the most trusted on the economy and if they start to take a harder line on immigration then that might change things around again. In any respect 9 months is a long time and will be fascinating to watch the dynamics as the election gets closer.

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Very likely, even more so if former Tory voters keep backing UKIP.

 

It's not as simple as that.

 

One thing that was hardly mentioned at the Clacton by election was that the Labour party suffered massively too. Even though they were buoyed up by the Lib Dem vote (who, incidentally lost their deposit), the Labour party lost nigh on 60% of it's vote.

 

The 'vote UKIP get Labour' line will be trotted out more and more as the GE approaches, but if that's all Cameron's got he'd better start packing!!

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I'd have money on an outright Libour win with possibly as little as 30% of the votes. With more parties and the first past the post system we have this is a distinct possiblity. It will be difficult for UKIP to get more than a handful of seats Regardless of the fact that the majority of the population probably want looser ties to Europe , Libour will engineer it that we will be closer aligned to Europe with ties that we will never be able to break. The problem is that in any other other country there would be riots on the streets for such a blatant disgregard for the majority but the English aren't like that. We'll just moan about it as the country plummets downhill.

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It's not as simple as that.

 

One thing that was hardly mentioned at the Clacton by election was that the Labour party suffered massively too. Even though they were buoyed up by the Lib Dem vote (who, incidentally lost their deposit), the Labour party lost nigh on 60% of it's vote.

 

The 'vote UKIP get Labour' line will be trotted out more and more as the GE approaches, but if that's all Cameron's got he'd better start packing!!

 

Your right, it's not that simple. The turnout for the by-election was about 8000 less than the GE in 2010. Given there was a huge majority for Carswell in 2010 did the majority of the Labour vote just not bother turning out?

 

it is difficult to draw any conclusions in the share of the vote as so many variables at play. By-elections are also a very different animal from GE's, the voting intention can be very different.

 

There may be some good polling results that give a better indication, but for now all we can really say is that Carswell was a popular local politician who retained his share of the vote.

Edited by grrclark
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I must admit I have been swayed towards UKIP, I have had a look at their policies and I like almost all of them, I just cant square the issue of leaving the EU I am happy to enter renegotiations and have an EU light, retain the trade agreements scrap the meddling & taxation.

 

Boarder control and immigration are spot on as are UKIP`s values on a fair days pay for a fair days work.

 

They do need to have some sort of succession planning in place for Nigel Farage.

And what policies are they pray tell..... other than total alienation of anything non white and English...Vote for Farage and his UKIP misfits at your peril...but don't come running back to mummy bleating when the proverbial hits the fan...exports dry up, the economy falters, we are rejected by Europe (not the other way round ) The NHS collapses and interest rates soar.

 

Why everyone thinks that a failed Tory bigot who spends most of his time in the pub and his bunch of cross party rejects is the new messiah and the apostles is totally beyond me.

 

A vote for UKIP at the next election in favour of one of the other mainstream parties is an absolute and utter waste in my opinion.

 

I think there will be a shock at or before the next election.. William Hague is set to retire from Parliament in 2015 but I have a sneaking suspicion ( as us racing connoisseurs would say ) he's got one big handicap left in him.

Edited by Fisherman Mike
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I still do not see why he is getting so much attention, i thought the tv and papers were supposed to give equal time to all parties of equal standing, UKIP have just 1 MP so how come some of the other parties who have more PMs than them hardly get a mention. ?

It seems that every time you turn on the telly or open a newspaper it all about Farage, Farage, Farage.

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And what policies are they pray tell..... other than total alienation of anything non white and English...Vote for Farage and his UKIP misfits at your peril...but don't come running back to mummy bleating when the proverbial hits the fan...exports dry up, the economy falters, we are rejected by Europe (not the other way round ) The NHS collapses and interest rates soar.

 

Why everyone thinks that a failed Tory bigot who spends most of his time in the pub and his bunch of cross party rejects is the new messiah and the apostles is totally beyond me.

 

A vote for UKIP at the next election in favour of one of the other mainstream parties is an absolute and utter waste in my opinion.

 

I think there will be a shock at or before the next election.. William Hague is set to retire from Parliament in 2015 but I have a sneaking suspicion ( as us racing connoisseurs would say ) he's got one big handicap left in him.

So I am supposed to vote for one of the two parties that I do not agree with ether of them and that is democracy not in my book I vote for what I think is rite not the not the one that I dislike the least you will say that I have wasted my vote but as I see it a vote is never wasted if you are voting for something that you think is rite.

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Part of the establishment hatchet job.

UKIP are a serious threat to the political status quo and since the main parties have failed to convince the electorate otherwise, the smear campaign begins.

Look at last nights Panorama......biased is not the word but hey ho, at least while they are slagging off Nigel, tho other parties can continue covering up their sex scandals and other minor issues that the BBC don't warrant newsworthy.

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