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Location/date of covid deaths


AVB
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This is an interesting website from the ONS showing the number of Covid deaths per Super Output Area broken down by month. 

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/causesofdeath/articles/deathsinvolvingcovid19interactivemap/2020-06-12

Interestingly my area has had 20 deaths in total, 13 in April, 7 in May and none since. 

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3 minutes ago, WalkedUp said:

20 in April 

Going to text my mother and check when my cousin died. Think it was April/May. 

the map also shows you the location of the deaths (green circles). All of mine appear to be in one place which I assume is a care home. 

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2 minutes ago, AVB said:

the map also shows you the location of the deaths (green circles). All of mine appear to be in one place which I assume is a care home. 

I I think the green circle is just an administration aspect. We just have one green circle too but I know it is not correct. 

The green circle somewhat reduces the human aspect. This is my cousin the week she was born being held by my grandad. 

F9183EB8-22D7-42F3-9CD9-43400A066127.jpeg

9 minutes ago, WalkedUp said:

Going to text my mother and check when my cousin died. Think it was April/May. 

16th April I believe, I sent flowers on 17th to her mother. 

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1 minute ago, WalkedUp said:

I I think the green circle is just an administration aspect. We just have one green circle too but I know it is not correct. 

It could be although coincidently the green spot in my area corresponds to the location of a care home. If you look at other areas (you can zoom the map out) some areas have multiple dots of different sizes. 

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2 minutes ago, AVB said:

It could be although coincidently the green spot in my area corresponds to the location of a care home. If you look at other areas (you can zoom the map out) some areas have multiple dots of different sizes. 

Definitely administrative. Each “locale” in my area has one dot, per town or village generally on the district centre. Mine is in the middle of a field but my super area is the combination of three small separate villages. 

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1 minute ago, WalkedUp said:

Definitely administrative. Each “locale” in my area has one dot, per town or village generally on the district centre. Mine is in the middle of a field but my super area is the combination of three small separate villages. 

I agree with you. What this does demonstrate is the randomness of this. Each area is of similar population size and yet areas of similar population density in adjacent physical location can have very different number of deaths. 

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There may well be more heart attacks, but they are a pretty much constant. COVID is causing excess deaths. 

Mot would however be good to look at man-years for the deaths. “Cost to the economy per year of average life expectancy” put against various diseases and illnesses.

Death rates are 13% higher on average this year. 

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In 2001 ischaemic heart disease was the for cause of death in 20% UK deaths, 7% higher than COVID. However it has now fallen drastically and the biggest cause of death is dementia and Althziemer’s at 15%. 

Covid has come from 0% to probably first placed cause of death in UK in 9 months. Pretty impressive performance by the young debutant. 

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12 minutes ago, bluesj said:

Not sure how they have come up with the areas but the town i live in is split in to 4 but the bit I live in covers about 60 square miles and covers  16 or more other villages, the areas around cover 2 and 4 square miles 

Each area contains a similar population. So towns will have smaller areas and rural areas larger. 

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An interesting point:

In May, my mum in law died, altzimers and old age, died at home but was tested for covid. Negative.

My neighbour across the road died in October, previously had many heart attacks, his wife was tested for covid, was positive but had/has no symptoms. He was negative. 

In December my father died, at home, he had bowel cancer and had just been released from hospital to die at home. Was tested for covid in hospital. I do not have the result.

These three deaths have all been reported as being covid related and are in the stats for covid in this area. 

These are the only three that I can definitely comment on but I do wonder how many more are reported as covid related but in fact are absolutely nothing to do with it.

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9 in my area. Looking at the other areas locally I can see that those with care homes appear to have a higher number but the location of the green blobs appears somewhat arbitrary.

Sorry to hear of the personal losses here.

What are the credible theories on why the number of COVID deaths are being reported? I can think of two:

  • NHS trusts using the figures to maintain / increase their funding
  • Government using the figures to justify the lockdown actions etc.
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This is interesting. Deaths per 100,000 population per year. Whilst 2020 has a higher rate than recent years it is still less than years before 2008. 
 

 

 

 

 

Year

Death Rate

Growth Rate

2021

9.429

0.170%

2020

9.413

0.160%

2019

9.398

0.170%

2018

9.382

0.730%

2017

9.314

0.720%

2016

9.247

0.740%

2015

9.179

0.740%

2014

9.112

0.750%

2013

9.044

-0.710%

2012

9.109

-0.700%

2011

9.173

-0.700%

2010

9.238

-0.690%

2009

9.302

-0.690%

2008

9.367

-1.720%

2007

9.531

-1.690%

2006

9.695

-1.650%

2005

9.858

-1.640%

2004

10.022

-1.610%

2003

10.186

-1.290%

2002

10.319

-1.280%

2001

10.453

-1.260%

2000

10.586

-1.250%

1999

10.720

-1.230%

1998

10.853

-0.610%

1997

10.920

-0.600%

1996

10.986

-0.610%

1995

11.053

-0.590%

1994

11.119

-0.600%

1993

11.186

-0.640%

1992

11.258

-0.640%

1991

11.330

-0.630%

1990

11.402

-0.630%

1989

11.474

-0.620%

1988

11.546

-0.320%

1987

11.583

-0.320%

1986

11.620

-0.310%

1985

11.656

-0.320%

1984

11.693

-0.320%

1983

11.730

-0.320%

1982

11.768

-0.320%

1981

11.806

-0.320%

1980

11.844

-0.320%

1979

11.882

-0.320%

1978

11.920

0.130%

1977

11.904

0.130%

1976

11.888

0.130%

1975

11.873

0.130%

1974

11.857

0.140%

1973

11.841

0.140%

1972

11.824

0.150%

1971

11.806

0.140%

1970

11.789

0.150%

1969

11.771

0.140%

1968

11.754

-0.110%

1967

11.767

-0.110%

1966

11.780

-0.120%

1965

11.794

-0.110%

1964

11.807

-0.110%

1963

11.820

0.350%

1962

11.779

0.350%

1961

11.738

0.350%

1960

11.697

0.350%

1959

11.656

0.350%

1958

11.615

-0.230%

1957

11.642

-0.220%

1956

11.668

-0.230%

1955

11.695

-0.220%

1954

11.721

-0.230%

1953

11.748

-0.230%

1952

11.775

-0.220%

1951

11.801

-0.230%

1950

11.828

0.000%

 

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Quack on the radio today saying modern drugs of the last 30 years have stretched life expectancy (albeit medically / artificially) and this is the elastic band snapping back. 
 

Looking at the post code checker for my area, there’s been 19 deaths across the whole period and I couldn’t tell you how many thousand chimney pots are in the post code area. I would guess more deaths through heart attack / strokes.

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